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19
November
2018

Falcons defense vs. Steelers offense

can Atlanta slow down the Steel City’s attack? Well. Here we are. Another week and another injury to the Atlanta defense. This week Atlanta Falcons T-Shirt , Grady Jarrett joined the list of defensive starters to miss at least one game this season. Add to that the fact that the Pittsburgh Steelers and their high-powered offense are waiting for their crack at the Falcons, and one can understand the lack of faith of some Falcons fans. Luckily, the Falcons offense is adding Devonta Freeman to an already dangerous offense, making the defense’s job a little easier, hopefully. Does Atlanta have a chance to slow the Steelers down? Sure. Do I think they do it? Let’s find out. In the trenchesThe Falcons are going to struggle this game—I just want to warn you. Relying on Michael Bennett, Deadrin Senat, and Takkarist McKinley is not the best recipe for success against one of the most talented offenses in the league. Fortunately, the Steelers have struggled to run the ball so far this season which will put less of a burden on the depleted Atlanta defensive line. However, I expect to see a steady dose of James Connor to take advantage of those injuries in the trenches. Once again, it will come down to McKinley and Vic Beasley getting pressure on Ben Roethlisberger to limit the Steelers’ success in the passing game. This season has been a rough one for Big Ben but the Falcons have a habit of getting struggling quarterbacks back on track. Based off Pro Football Focus ratings, the Pittsburgh offensive line has been pretty average overall, but each player has a much higher pass block rating than they do run blocking. We’re talking anywhere from a 15-to-20-point difference in the two grades. The only consistently poor grade belongs to center Maurkice Pouncey. If Atlanta were healthy and at full strength, I would like their chances to at least slow the Steelers down in the running game and to generate consistent pressure on Roethlisberger. As it stands right now, though?I think the lack of depth along the line of scrimmage hurts Atlanta as the game goes on, and the Falcons struggle to get Roethlisberger to the ground consistently. Advantage: Pittsburgh SteelersSkill positionsHere we have the most entertaining matchups of the game. On one side: Desmond Trufant, Robert Alford, Damontae Kazee, and Brian Poole; on the other side: Antonio Brown, Juju Smith-Schuster Atlanta Falcons Hats , James Washington, and Vance McDonald. Throw in James Connor and DeVondre Campbell and the two teams should be pretty competitive—on paper, at least.However, one of the biggest issues for Atlanta—other than injuries—is the lack of production from their big name players like Trufant and Beasley. If Trufant plays well and can limit the amount of explosive plays that Brown has, things will improve greatly. This offense is stacked, though. I may feel alright about Trufant or Alford, but I don’t feel great about both of them limiting both Brown and Smith-Schuster. McDonald has never been an elite tight end in this league but he has played pretty well in Pittsburgh. His best asset in this game will be his experience against the younger Kazee, plus the amount of help the rest of his teammates demand. This is a game that Keanu Neal, Deion Jones, and Ricardo Allen make a huge impact in and potentially thrive in—fast, explosive style of play that lends itself to their talents and ability. However, without those guys, this skeleton crew of a defense is going to have to pray for some turnovers and some Steelers mistakes to slow this offense down. Advantage: Pittsburgh SteelersConclusionThe Falcons still have some talented players on defense and they still have a solid coaching staff, but this group doesn’t have enough to truly stop a powerful offense like the one they will see on Sunday. If Beasley and McKinley can each have big games, get a strip sack or two, and make Ben uncomfortable the entire game, it will swing things in a major way for the Falcons. Similarly, if the Falcons can take advantage of Roethlisberger’s carelessness and make him toss an interception, Atlanta has a much better chance at slowing this Steelers attack down.I don’t see all of those things happening and I don’t see the Falcons suddenly flipping a switch and becoming a great defense. Like I said a few weeks ago Atlanta Falcons Hoodie , this isn’t a scheme issue or an X’s and O’s issue—it’s a personnel and “Jimmies and Joes” issue. Atlanta struggles on defense and relies on the offense to win the game once again. Advantage: Pittsburgh SteelersBy the Numbers stats preview: Falcons vs. Steelers Week 5 is here, and the Falcons are in a really tough spot. Sitting at 1-3, Atlanta’s playoff chances rest on this week’s road matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2-1). Both of these teams are in desperate straits, and both appear to be suffering from the same issues: a defense that is losing them games despite elite offensive production. The winner of this game keeps hope alive—for now—while the loser likely has to re-evaluate their season.Let’s take a closer look at how Atlanta and Pittsburgh matchup statistically on offense and defense heading into Week 5.OFFENSEStatisticFalconsSteelersStatisticFalconsSteelersThe Falcons have been among the NFL’s best offenses in 2018, but that hasn’t translated to many wins thus far. Atlanta is 6th in total points, 7th in total yards, and 4th in yards per play. In the passing game, the team is 6th in yards, 3rd in yards per attempt, and T-8th in passing TDs. On the ground, the Falcons are 21st in yards, T-19th in yards per carry, and T-6th in rushing TDs. Atlanta has been great on third down, converting 48% of their attempts (good for 4th). The team has also protected the football well in 2018, and has a +2 turnover margin through Week 4.Pittsburgh is in a very similar situation to Atlanta: a very good offense that hasn’t been able to overcome a terrible defense. The Steelers are T-11th in total points, 6th in total yards, and 10th in yards per play. Through the air, the team is 3rd in yards, 12th in yards per attempt Youth Customized Atlanta Falcons Jerseys , and T-11th in passing TDs. In the ground game, Pittsburgh is 29th in yards, T-25th in yards per carry, and T-6th in rushing TDs. The Steelers have really struggled on third down, converting only 31% of their attempts (28th). They’ve also struggled with turnovers, carrying a -2 margin into Week 5.Advantage: FalconsDEFENSEStatisticFalconsSteelersStatisticFalconsSteelersAtlanta’s defense has been an absolute trainwreck outside of Week 1 due to an unprecedented string of injuries. The Falcons are 30th in points allowed, 28th in total yards allowed, and 24th in yards per play. Defending the pass, the team is 25th in yards, somehow T-8th in yards per attempt, and T-24th in passing TDs allowed. Against the run, Atlanta is 26th in yards, 29th in yards per carry, and 31st in rushing TDs allowed. The Falcons’ defense has been abysmal on third down, allowing a ridiculous 51% of attempts to be converted (31st). They’ve also been below average at generating sacks, with only 8 on the season (T-22nd).The Steelers’ defense looks about the same as Atlanta’s—except they don’t have any injury excuses to fall back on. Pittsburgh is 26th in points allowed, 30th in total yards allowed, and 25th in yards per play. In the passing game, the team is 29th in yards www.falconsauthorizedshops.com , T-25th in yards per attempt, and 31st in passing TDs allowed. On the ground, the Steelers are T-22nd in yards, T-18th in yards per carry, and T-7th in rushing TDs allowed. Pittsburgh has played well on third down, allowing only 37% of attempts to be converted (13th). They’ve also generated a lot of sacks, with 13 through four weeks (T-4th).Advantage: SteelersAnalysisThis looks like the perfect setup for another shootout. The schedule makers did Atlanta no favors with this early stretch of games, and this injury-ravaged and inexperienced defense has been eviscerated by the likes of Drew Brees and Andy Dalton. Now they get Ben Roethlisberger and the loaded Steelers’ offense on the road. The Falcons’ defense isn’t likely to make much headway in this game, but they’ll have to find a way to make just enough plays to help Atlanta come away with a road win.We can count on Ryan and the offense putting up points against a Pittsburgh defense that is hemorrhaging almost as many points and yards as Atlanta’s. But when you get into these types of back-and-forth shootouts, you learn the cold hard statistical fact that one-score games are often coin flips. The Falcons have come up tails twice in a row now, but that luck should turn around at some point. Will it be on Sunday against the Steelers? If you have any desire to see Atlanta competing in the 2018 playoffs, you’d better hope so.This game really is a coin flip. Both of these teams will be playing for their playoff lives, with the Falcons sitting at 1-3 and the Steelers at 1-2-1. The winner keeps hope alive for at least one more week, while the loser gets an early start to #DraftSzn. I love the draft as much as anyone, but can we put it off for at least a few more weeks? Please, Falcons.Overall Advantage: PushWhat are your thoughts on the matchup between the Falcons and Steelers? Any particular position groups that you’ll be watching closely on Sunday?



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